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It's said that naturally most refugees stay in their country and hence this is just a "horror scenario". The difference is that this wouldn't be a "natural" dynamic. The question is whether Russia can effort the resources to prepare for an "African front", all the more as they are now under the eyes of an alerted NATO. | It's said that naturally most refugees stay in their country and hence this is just a "horror scenario". The difference is that this wouldn't be a "natural" dynamic. The question is whether Russia can effort the resources to prepare for an "African front", all the more as they are now under the eyes of an alerted NATO. | ||
If Ukraine completely falls then China and Russia will dominate Africa first and then more and more parts of the remaining world. As soon as that happens Europe would need to truly unite and aim for technology-driven | If Ukraine completely falls then China and Russia will dominate Africa first and then more and more parts of the remaining world. As soon as that happens Europe would need to truly unite and aim for technology-driven autarky so it doesn't become a satellite. | ||
====China==== | ====China==== | ||
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Greater Middle East ([[wp:Sunni_Islam#Adherents|Sunni Islam]])? | Greater Middle East ([[wp:Sunni_Islam#Adherents|Sunni Islam]])? | ||
* normalization: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/28/world/middleeast/turkey-erdogan-saudi-arabia.html | * normalization: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/28/world/middleeast/turkey-erdogan-saudi-arabia.html | ||
* Saudi-Arabia as leader and | * Saudi-Arabia as leader and Türkiye as befriended nation? (Türkiye is special as it has connections to the West by EU and NATO, important economic ties to Russia and it is an Muslim nation.) | ||
** | ** Türkiye's latest blackmailing (2022.05.14) has just proofed again that they are a mafia-tainted autocracy. Should NATO and China start to beat up each other they can turn to team number three, let them be the "king maker" and split the bribe - or if they get crazy dupe both. | ||
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===Thought experiment: How to disable nuclear deterrence - the soft way=== | ===Thought experiment: How to disable nuclear deterrence - the soft way=== | ||
People in a global biocracy simply vote for the destruction of all nuclear weapons - and when they are already about it for general demilitarization. | People in a global biocracy simply vote for the destruction of all nuclear weapons - and when they are already about it for general demilitarization. | ||
The only one left who is allowed to carry weapons would be the police. | The only one left who is allowed to carry weapons would be the police. | ||
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====FDP==== | ====FDP==== | ||
A natural "five percent party" due to their core clientele: "bankers, managers, bosses" (plus | A natural "five percent party" due to their core clientele: "bankers, managers, bosses" (plus freelancers and founders). With money fueled PR they most often surpass their natural limit. -- Certain individuals have indeed good, plausible positions that the mainstream can agree on but that doesn't change the fact that they actually have a different clientele and that their Corona booster is running out. -- They are a traditional "king maker" party, most often for CDU. | ||
====CDU==== | ====CDU==== | ||