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To say it with slightly changed words from Don Winslow: Democracies shouldn't have brought spoons to a knives fight. | To say it with slightly changed words from Don Winslow: Democracies shouldn't have brought spoons to a knives fight. | ||
If Putin sabotages or destroys the corn harvest for another year or even longer he will get his geopolitical cake slice. Not the bigger pieces of Ukraine but in the AU because he can blackmail them and NATO can do little against it. China can passively support Russia's doing by simply buying large quantities of corn on the world market | If Putin sabotages or destroys the corn harvest for another year or even longer he will get his geopolitical cake slice. Not the bigger pieces of Ukraine but in the AU because he can blackmail them and NATO can do little against it. China can passively support Russia's doing by simply buying large quantities of corn on the world market pushing the price even higher. | ||
Africa should have been enabled to feed itself. Now its too late. The situation of a starving overpopulation will take its toll. "Autarky is not a solution", my ass. If China and Russia come up with a true partnership in geopolitics Europe gets fucked. The refugee waves can be channeled to Europa functioning as "human weapons" - like during the Belarus border crisis but much more powerful because, unlike the Ukrainians, black people won't be welcomed by Europe. To maximize damage, waves from the overpopulated Afghanistan could be triggered simultaneously. And then the tone will be "thank you America for pushing Russia and China into kicking out asses while you sit on your far-away island. Thank you for nothing. May you become an idiocracy under Donald Trump and never talk to us again." | Africa should have been enabled to feed itself. Now its too late. The situation of a starving overpopulation will take its toll. "Autarky is not a solution", my ass. If China and Russia come up with a true partnership in geopolitics Europe gets fucked. The refugee waves can be channeled to Europa functioning as "human weapons" - like during the Belarus border crisis but much more powerful because, unlike the Ukrainians, black people won't be welcomed by Europe. To maximize damage, waves from the overpopulated Afghanistan could be triggered simultaneously. And then the tone will be "thank you America for pushing Russia and China into kicking out asses while you sit on your far-away island. Thank you for nothing. May you become an idiocracy under Donald Trump and never talk to us again." | ||
(Oh I'm getting salty? Thanks god this is just an improbable scenario, a bad dream we all can wake up from. Right? No? So you really want to sit this one out and take the rest risk? -@_ & | (Oh I'm getting salty? Thanks god this is just an improbable scenario, a bad dream we all can wake up from. Right? No? So you really want to sit this one out and take the rest risk? -@_ &@# #</\ %@@(§!) | ||
It's said that naturally most refugees stay in their country and hence this is just a "horror scenario". The difference is that this wouldn't be a "natural" dynamic. Interesstingly the Russians have shown lately calmer tones about the corn exports. Who knows what dirty deal was involved in that or whether they just don't have the reasources to prepare for an "African front" right now under the eyes of an alerted NATO. | |||
====China==== | ====China==== | ||
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====Grüne==== | ====Grüne==== | ||
"The green and anti-nuclear party." (The well-off, | "The green and anti-nuclear party." (The well-off, intellectuals, new left, pool of minorities, and ... traditional Greens.) Potential new voters were not afraid of their core program but the new ideological-tinted topics and Greens' missing experience. Also, they are not perceived for a strong social competence. Putin's war has pushed back the ideological topics up to that point that they even got (temporary) praise from news platform WELT whose most readers are CDU, FDP and AfD sympathizers. If they don't completely fuck up another time the Greens have a good chance in setting the vice chancellor at least another time. Climate change isn't going away. To the contrary. | ||
====FDP==== | ====FDP==== | ||
A natural "five percent party" due to their core clientele: "bankers, managers, bosses". With money fueled PR they most often surpass | A natural "five percent party" due to their core clientele: "bankers, managers, bosses" (plus freelencers and founders). With money fueled PR they most often surpass their natural limit. -- Certain individuals have indeed good, plausible positions that the mainstream can agree on but that doesn't change the fact that they actually have a different clientele and that their Corona booster is running out. -- They are a traditional "king maker" party, most often for CDU. | ||
====CDU==== | ====CDU==== | ||
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"The East German party." Marginalized themselves by inner fights and are perceived as ideological dead stranded. Also, they became collateral damage by strategic voting: Voters wanted to prevent AfD so they lost votes to CDU, SPD and Greens. | "The East German party." Marginalized themselves by inner fights and are perceived as ideological dead stranded. Also, they became collateral damage by strategic voting: Voters wanted to prevent AfD so they lost votes to CDU, SPD and Greens. | ||
====The | ====The non-voters==== | ||
Non-voters are often described as biggest party. But that doesn't mean they could create such party. That unit wouldn't be homogeneous enough. -- It's debatable whether the high amount of non-voters is a sign of a functional or dysfunctional democracy. | Non-voters are often described as biggest party. But that doesn't mean they could create such party. That unit wouldn't be homogeneous enough. -- It's debatable whether the high amount of non-voters is a sign of a functional or dysfunctional democracy. | ||
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