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Talk:Restless Souls/Summary: Difference between revisions
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2022. Russia assured multiple times that it will not attack Ukraine. If Russia attacks the Ukraine nonetheless - in whatever form, no matter whether a false flag action happens before or not - they will lose all credibility for a long time and NATO will be forced to impose sanctions. Germany will be forced to stop NS2 and give up its pacifistic basic attitude. If the attack is big enough it would even trigger a new cold war. | 2022. Russia assured multiple times that it will not attack Ukraine. If Russia attacks the Ukraine nonetheless - in whatever form, no matter whether a false flag action happens before or not - they will lose all credibility for a long time and NATO will be forced to impose sanctions. Germany will be forced to stop NS2 and give up its pacifistic basic attitude. If the attack is big enough it would even trigger a new cold war. | ||
Edit: Summarized, Putin is not irrational. We didn't had the per se "wrong" estimation. It was Putin who had the wrong estimation because he was given false information. His own intelligence agencies and military gave him wrong facts. They were too afraid of telling him the truth about Russian forces and Ukraine's situation. That means that Putin would still have attacked Ukraine but only when he had the power to do so. | Edit: Summarized, Putin is not irrational*. We didn't had the per se "wrong" estimation. It was Putin who had the wrong estimation because he was given false information. His own intelligence agencies and military gave him wrong facts. They were too afraid of telling him the truth about Russian forces and Ukraine's situation. That means that Putin would still have attacked Ukraine but only when he had the power to do so. | ||
: * These days you often hear that Putin is having an ideology. I think that's just pretextual, a justification and tool for mass manipulation. He had no problem in keeping the MiGs for war instead of let to fly at the military parade. He tried to calm the families of fallen soldiers. He knows what he is doing. Just because Putin "has" (uses) an ideology doesn't necessarily mean he believes it himself. | |||
'''Invasion scenarios''' | '''Invasion scenarios''' | ||