Restless Souls/Technology: Difference between revisions

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the future of computers

Paradox-01

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 ===Shinatama's escape===
 [...] Shintama could have uploaded her mind to the Internet with the help of Pensatore. I guess this can continue with [[Shinatama#Hikari|Owldreamer's stuff]].
+==Computers==
+===End of growth===
+Reminded to "[[wikipedia:The_Limits_to_Growth|The Limits to Growth]]"? ;)
+According to Moore's law the chip industry will reach fundamentals limits for transistor size (2 to 3 nanometers) in 2020. Due to increasing production difficulties 2025 seems more likely.
+So is this the end of '''growth of computing power'''? Certainly not.
+The companies will push forward '''multi-core processors''' and '''vertical stacking'''. For example, Samsung already uses vertical stacking in flash memory, by now you should have heard of their V-NAND SSD. The idea to use the third dimension should soon find its way into processor production to fulfill Moore's law.
+After these tricks has been fully exploited, the companies will be forced to turn to new technologies such as spintronics in 2025.
+Harnessing the magnetic property of electrons will not only result in less power consumption but also high clock rates. In the past years the clock speed stagnated between 4 and 5 GHz due to overheating. Processors based on spintronics won't heat up that fast, so can operate at higher frequencies. And higher frequencies means more calculations per second.
+Next, we will see photonic processors. If we give spintronics 15 years to become fully developed, photonics should arrive at 2040. These appear quite late in this technological vision since individual light particles (photons) are even more difficult to handle than electrons.
+Oh yeah, and of course quantum computers... You often hear of "breakthroughs" but still they are nowhere to be found. That's because the ToDo-lists for all its parts are huge. Most parts have to be constructed from scratch and the underlying logic rests on fragile particle states like entanglement. While quantum computer might just gain traction by 2050, we should see more and more hybridization of processor technologies in the meantime.
+[...]
+neurosynaptic chips
+memristors
+artifial neurons
+cybernetic neurons
+[...]
+Self-conscious AIs will seek to migrate to associative machines since they are still safe from viruses and spyware sheltering their "mind" from hostile humans. Also, that architectures supports patter recognition.
+http://www.assoziativmaschine.de/index2.html
+http://www.deutschlandfunk.de/ausspaehsicher-computer-arbeitet-wie-das-menschliche-gehirn.684.de.html?dram:article_id=274935
+[...]
+Shapeshifting hardware
+===Consequences===
+The end of increase in computer power per equal size doesn't mean the end of innovation but it a massive slowdown.
+Companies relying on innovation will be endangered by the unofficial rules of stock exchange: a steady production isn't enough, a company mustn't be stable, it must be growing to satisfy its shareholders.
+Capitalistic principles will not chease to exist but a planetary technosphere and slowed down knowledge acquisition will eventually cool down capitalistic economies and allow a Biocracy to be chosen as reasonable political system. - All the more since computers and robots will [replace about 47% of all jobs in the next 20 years in the US http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2015/nov/05/robot-revolution-rise-machines-could-displace-third-of-uk-jobs]. So for 2050 with emerging, mighty AIs we can expect even more pressure on economy and society to change dramatically.
+[...]