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====Feng's scenarios==== | ====Feng's scenarios==== | ||
* In addition to a multi-pandemic, single pandemics are itself a threat and a possible kickstarter for hypercrisis. | * In addition to a multi-pandemic, single pandemics are itself a threat and a possible kickstarter for hypercrisis. | ||
::New viruses are everywhere available in nature and can be made lethal in biolabs. As for known killer viruses like smallpox, its reconstruction would take less then [[wp:de:Pocken#Pockengefahr_nach_der_Ausrottung|100.000 credits and half a year of work for a small team]]. | |||
* Pandemics can also be triggered in insects. Extinction of bees have been discussed in other contexts. And while such an event would not drive humans into extinction it would still mean a severe problem. Also insects could be used as biological weapon. They could destroy specific flora: [https://www.darpa.mil/program/insect-allies DARPA]'s (potentially re-purposed) [https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2018/10/crop-protecting-insects-could-be-turned-bioweapons-critics-warn Insect Allies] was identified as such a threat. | * Pandemics can also be triggered in insects. Extinction of bees have been discussed in other contexts. And while such an event would not drive humans into extinction it would still mean a severe problem. Also insects could be used as biological weapon. They could destroy specific flora: [https://www.darpa.mil/program/insect-allies DARPA]'s (potentially re-purposed) [https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2018/10/crop-protecting-insects-could-be-turned-bioweapons-critics-warn Insect Allies] was identified as such a threat. | ||
* An asteroid impact could drive humans into extinction. The bigger the asteroid the more difficult it gets to prevent such an event. Therefor global teamwork is needed. | * An asteroid impact could drive humans into extinction. The bigger the asteroid the more difficult it gets to prevent such an event. Therefor global teamwork is needed. | ||
* While a [[wp:Kessler_syndrome|Kessler syndrome]] itself is a serious threat, intentionally triggered it would slow down detection of killer asteroids and the launch of countermeasures. | * While a [[wp:Kessler_syndrome|Kessler syndrome]] itself is a serious threat, intentionally triggered it would slow down detection of killer asteroids and the launch of countermeasures. | ||
* Isotopes filtration technology (e.g. metal-organic frameworks and nanopores) could make it easy to | * Isotopes filtration technology (e.g. metal-organic frameworks and nanopores) could make it easy to produce [[wp:Enriched_uranium|enriched uranium]] for dirty bombs, [[wp:Operation_Argus|EMP]] or nuclear weapons - too easy for certain states, groups or eventually one day for individuals. | ||
* Cyber-crimes and cyber-terrorism are itself more of a smaller problem. But if used by organized crime or states in combination with other threats it is a serious threat. With self-improving AI this would get even worse although only a very [[wp:Technological_singularity#Hard_vs._soft_takeoff|soft takeoff]] is likely to happen. | * Cyber-crimes and cyber-terrorism are itself more of a smaller problem. But if used by organized crime or states in combination with other threats it is a serious threat. With self-improving AI this would get even worse although only a very [[wp:Technological_singularity#Hard_vs._soft_takeoff|soft takeoff]] is likely to happen. | ||
* Robots and androids could be a target for hackers and turn them against their "hosts". (SLD fall out of this category because their programming is more "hard-wired".) | * Robots and androids could be a target for hackers and turn them against their "hosts". (SLD fall out of this category because their programming is more "hard-wired".) | ||