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Putin will keep Donbas and the black sea coast under control.
Putin will keep Donbas and the black sea coast under control.
The relationship between Ukraine and Germany will be probably permanently damaged.


After Putin's suicidal attack on Ukraine Russia will likely become a satellite to China. Russia revived the European part of NATO. Now with a secured back old superpower USA could concentrate more power in the Pacific. China's biggest strategic mistake during the pandemic was to not get mRNA vaccines, for ideological reasons [https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/china-perseveres-with-mrna-covid-shot-development-amid-omicron-commercial-2022-02-28/ they tried stick to their own attempts] and hampered its own growth. Russia and China showed themselves to stand shoulder-to-shoulder in geopolitical questions but given enough push and pull Russia could not just end up as satellite but as pinata, hanging there waiting to get economically slaughtered by a frustrated China to finally win against USA.
After Putin's suicidal attack on Ukraine Russia will likely become a satellite to China. Russia revived the European part of NATO. Now with a secured back old superpower USA could concentrate more power in the Pacific. China's biggest strategic mistake during the pandemic was to not get mRNA vaccines, for ideological reasons [https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/china-perseveres-with-mrna-covid-shot-development-amid-omicron-commercial-2022-02-28/ they tried stick to their own attempts] and hampered its own growth. Russia and China showed themselves to stand shoulder-to-shoulder in geopolitical questions but given enough push and pull Russia could not just end up as satellite but as pinata, hanging there waiting to get economically slaughtered by a frustrated China to finally win against USA.
The relations to Germany will be probably permanently damaged.


* '''The pessimistic one'''
* '''The pessimistic one'''
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====CDU====
====CDU====
"The employers (and well-off employees) party."  The common dominator by clientele and money but has the most corruption scandals. Chancellor Merkel had a strategy that ensure victories for many years. The costs for that strategy were a non-implementation of important but uncomfortable reforms. They lost the last Bundestagswahl by simply having the wrong candidate which also provoked a quarrel with their Bavarian sister party CSU.
"The employers (and well-off employees) party."  The common dominator by clientele and money but has the most corruption scandals. Chancellor Merkel had a strategy that ensure victories for many years. The costs for that strategy were a non-implementation of uncomfortable but important reforms. They lost the last Bundestagswahl by simply having the wrong candidate which also provoked a quarrel with their Bavarian sister party CSU.


====AfD====
====AfD====
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