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===Estimation of risks=== | ===Estimation of risks=== | ||
What makes evaluating the big warnings about AI problematic is that different interests are mixed up here: | What makes evaluating the big warnings about AI problematic is not just the complex topic but also that different interests are mixed up here: | ||
* The big company founders like Musk, who are afraid of being left behind, apparently use the fears of others to push such warnings and take advantage of them | * The big company founders like Musk, who are afraid of being left behind, apparently use the fears of others to push such warnings and take advantage of them | ||
* Pessimists and [https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/kuenstliche-intelligenz-die-rueckkehr-des-wunderglaubens-kolumne-a-d53eb350-b5b5-4888-9bf8-8fc510d018b8 ideologs/followers] of [https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/longtermism-was-ist-das-rettung-oder-gefahr-kolumne-a-983e60ba-6265-40a8-8c65-8f2668e4e9ff longtermism] | * Pessimists and [https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/kuenstliche-intelligenz-die-rueckkehr-des-wunderglaubens-kolumne-a-d53eb350-b5b5-4888-9bf8-8fc510d018b8 ideologs/followers] of [https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/longtermism-was-ist-das-rettung-oder-gefahr-kolumne-a-983e60ba-6265-40a8-8c65-8f2668e4e9ff longtermism] | ||
* Real residual risks and foreseeable negative developments (fake news, weapons), societal control | * Real residual risks and foreseeable negative developments (fake news, weapons), societal control | ||
Warnings that had much publicity: | |||
* https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/ | |||
* https://www.safe.ai/statement-on-ai-risk | |||
: "Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war." | |||
:: While this is something many can easily agree on - for good reasons - at the same time this can be read with a good portion of [[wp:Alarmism|alarmism]]. | |||
The '''irrational fears of the tech scene about AI''' are in great parts driven by Nick Bostrom -- like the '''[[Oni2_talk:Beyond_Dragons#Is_alien_life_hostile.3F|irrational fears of the tech scene about killer aliens]]''' are in great parts driven by Stephen Hawkings. (RIP) | The '''irrational fears of the tech scene about AI''' are in great parts driven by Nick Bostrom -- like the '''[[Oni2_talk:Beyond_Dragons#Is_alien_life_hostile.3F|irrational fears of the tech scene about killer aliens]]''' are in great parts driven by Stephen Hawkings. (RIP) | ||