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Talk:Restless Souls/Summary: Difference between revisions
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'''Eventually geopolitics are always about securing your slice of cake in another country''' - may it be USA (and rest of NATO), Russia, China or whosoever. The only difference is how they are doing it. (After [[wp:Operation_Cyclone|decades long Afghanistan conflict]] the Western self-image got cracks. Consequences are being discussed.) | '''Eventually geopolitics are always about securing your slice of cake in another country''' - may it be USA (and rest of NATO), Russia, China or whosoever. The only difference is how they are doing it. (After [[wp:Operation_Cyclone|decades long Afghanistan conflict]] the Western self-image got cracks. Consequences are being discussed.) | ||
China was the new candidate for hegemony - until corona removed the absolute certainty. In any case the world will stay multi-polar for an even longer time. This pessimistic view is [https:// | China was the new candidate for hegemony - until corona removed the absolute certainty. In any case the world will stay multi-polar for an even longer time. This pessimistic view is [https://archive.ph/q7kuE shared by more and more people]. '''A positive connotation could have been that this gives USA time to mentally adapt to be second in rank but this gets overshadowed by the stretched out time for even more conflicts and that China has already shown to be even more repressive against inner dissidents.''' | ||
Russia <s>is working</s> worked and failed on its comeback. Does it just want respect? It's a term that caused strong diplomatic turbulence between Germany and Ukraine January 2021. Everybody knows the Crimea will not come back to the Ukraine but drawing it as a fatalistic fact therefore seemingly excusable was reckless. While that conflict is a problem for itself Kay-Achim Schönbach should have said "Russia wants to be taken serious" instead of "respect". Russia wants also a piece of the cake, the geopolitical cake, money. NATO expanded eastward multiple times, therefore expanded their zone of influence. Why in the world would Russia just stand still and say "that's okay with us"? Sure, the smaller nations should be free to choose which alliance they want to join but that's not how the world works. That's the ugly truth. Only [[wp:Realpolitik|Realpolitik]] can solve this conflict. The unofficial rules in the club of <s>supercriminals</s> (*cough*) superpowers should have been that you don't poach in the territory of another superpower and that undecided territory should remain bloc free. -- Now it's too late. Putin's own corruption and radicalization additionally worsened problem. The combination a problematic dynamic and a problematic political leader not only expelled millions of people and partially destroyed Ukraine, it also put up Cold War 1.5. | Russia <s>is working</s> worked and failed on its comeback. Does it just want respect? It's a term that caused strong diplomatic turbulence between Germany and Ukraine January 2021. Everybody knows the Crimea will not come back to the Ukraine but drawing it as a fatalistic fact therefore seemingly excusable was reckless. While that conflict is a problem for itself Kay-Achim Schönbach should have said "Russia wants to be taken serious" instead of "respect". Russia wants also a piece of the cake, the geopolitical cake, money. NATO expanded eastward multiple times, therefore expanded their zone of influence. Why in the world would Russia just stand still and say "that's okay with us"? Sure, the smaller nations should be free to choose which alliance they want to join but that's not how the world works. That's the ugly truth. Only [[wp:Realpolitik|Realpolitik]] can solve this conflict. The unofficial rules in the club of <s>supercriminals</s> (*cough*) superpowers should have been that you don't poach in the territory of another superpower and that undecided territory should remain bloc free. -- Now it's too late. Putin's own corruption and radicalization additionally worsened problem. The combination a problematic dynamic and a problematic political leader not only expelled millions of people and partially destroyed Ukraine, it also put up Cold War 1.5. | ||
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[https://web.archive.org/web/20221028173457/https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-10/hamburg-hafen-china-offener-brief-warnung-olaf-scholz Gleichzeitig drohte die chinesische Botschaft deutsche Unternehmen, sich nicht zu widersetzen.] Nachdem nun nur noch 24,9 % Anteile des Terminals in Aussicht stehen, zeigt man sich nicht mehr so begeistert. Das Gesamtbild zeichnet den Verdacht, dass es den Chinesen auch in diesem Fall um geopolitische Einflussnahme ging. | [https://web.archive.org/web/20221028173457/https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-10/hamburg-hafen-china-offener-brief-warnung-olaf-scholz Gleichzeitig drohte die chinesische Botschaft deutsche Unternehmen, sich nicht zu widersetzen.] Nachdem nun nur noch 24,9 % Anteile des Terminals in Aussicht stehen, zeigt man sich nicht mehr so begeistert. Das Gesamtbild zeichnet den Verdacht, dass es den Chinesen auch in diesem Fall um geopolitische Einflussnahme ging. | ||
Währenddessen setzt sich unsere eigene geopolitische Geisterfahrt fort: die deutsche Wirtschaft möge sich doch bitte unabhängiger von China machen. Und was macht Scholz? [https:// | Währenddessen setzt sich unsere eigene geopolitische Geisterfahrt fort: die deutsche Wirtschaft möge sich doch bitte unabhängiger von China machen. Und was macht Scholz? [https://archive.ph/6uBAq Wenn man Marcel Fratzscher's Analyse] weiter denkt opfert Scholz die Zukunft einer (nicht selbstlosen) wertegeleitete Außenwirtschaftspolitik seiner vermeintlich sichereren Realpolitik, weil er schon selber nicht mehr an erstgenanntes glaubt. | ||
Wir brauchen eine europäische Strategie? Keine einzige chinesische Beteiligung an Infrastruktur in Europa mehr zulassen. Wenn möglich die anderen Anteile zurückholen. Wenn China einzelne Häfen boykottiert, sollte die EU aus dem Erlösen der nicht boykottierten Häfen ein Ausgleich zahlen. Erpressung darf sich nicht lohnen. China kann nicht die ganze EU boykottieren. Entweder die EU rauft sich zusammen, einigt sich auf gemeinsame Richtlinien gegenüber China oder wir brauchen das Wort Taiwan nie wieder in den Mund zu nehmen. | Wir brauchen eine europäische Strategie? Keine einzige chinesische Beteiligung an Infrastruktur in Europa mehr zulassen. Wenn möglich die anderen Anteile zurückholen. Wenn China einzelne Häfen boykottiert, sollte die EU aus dem Erlösen der nicht boykottierten Häfen ein Ausgleich zahlen. Erpressung darf sich nicht lohnen. China kann nicht die ganze EU boykottieren. Entweder die EU rauft sich zusammen, einigt sich auf gemeinsame Richtlinien gegenüber China oder wir brauchen das Wort Taiwan nie wieder in den Mund zu nehmen. | ||