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Talk:Restless Souls/Technology: Difference between revisions
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While [https://www.heise.de/news/Branchenkenner-Die-Haelfte-der-KI-Start-ups-wird-es-bald-nicht-mehr-geben-9219155.html GPTs will likely have their niches] where they do excellent work, the question could be rather whether we will see a more linear, continuous development or a [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4aR_smQgxY&t=177s cost explosion] that leads in 5 to 10 years to a new AI winter until spintronics / memristors / quantum computing gives AI development a new substantial (disruptive) push. | While [https://www.heise.de/news/Branchenkenner-Die-Haelfte-der-KI-Start-ups-wird-es-bald-nicht-mehr-geben-9219155.html GPTs will likely have their niches] where they do excellent work, the question could be rather whether we will see a more linear, continuous development or a [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4aR_smQgxY&t=177s cost explosion] that leads in 5 to 10 years to a new AI winter until spintronics / memristors / quantum computing gives AI development a new substantial (disruptive) push. | ||
2024: When you look at the data points you realize the ''disruptive'' [https://www.faz.net/pro/d-economy/kuenstliche-intelligenz/ki-erreicht-faehigkeiten-der-menschen-immer-frueher-19672653.html phase is over]. GPT-5 and its concurrence products will be the last hype in the line. From then on only gradual improvements will happen until a new approach (like real self-improvement) gets implemented. | |||
===Why GPTs could evolve into AGI but why it is very unlikely if no additional abilities are implemented=== | ===Why GPTs could evolve into AGI but why it is very unlikely if no additional abilities are implemented=== | ||