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Scaled up machine learning and AI will change everything, eventually. But from now on it will happen '''in software at first'''. Software is naturally the first target [https://www.golem.de/news/microsoft-studie-diese-berufe-veraendert-ki-am-staerksten-2508-198747.html (after text remixing)]<!--August 2025 note: | Scaled up machine learning and AI will change everything, eventually. But from now on it will happen '''in software at first'''. Software is naturally the first target [https://www.golem.de/news/microsoft-studie-diese-berufe-veraendert-ki-am-staerksten-2508-198747.html (after text remixing)]<!--August 2025 note: | ||
CNC "programming" is more like HTML "programming", writing ... Translation is rewriting ... So far, experienced programmers are faster without AI ... This will change one day, too, but still faster than physical demanding jobs ... When you can recognize a pattern, you can generate variants of that pattern: Gen AI ... Programming is more difficult because it includes creating NEW logic.--> and any '''implementation in robotics will need additional development''' and testing. -- Or in short: Improvements (and job change) in any "classic" industry happens too, but in a delayed fashion. | CNC "programming" is more like HTML "programming", writing ... Translation is rewriting ... So far, experienced programmers are faster without AI ... This will change one day, too, but still faster than physical demanding jobs ... When you can recognize a pattern, you can generate variants of that pattern: Gen AI ... Programming is more difficult because it includes creating NEW logic and the programmer is deeply familiar with the code, which give him an advantage.--> and any '''implementation in robotics will need additional development''' and testing. -- Or in short: Improvements (and job change) in any "classic" industry happens too, but in a delayed fashion. | ||
A wave of '''job change''' is about to happen with GPT5+. It will presumably give birth to a range of really good ANI. But the far '''long-term trend''' with real AI (AGI) is more and '''more unemployment''' because '''not everybody can adapt to AGI'''. And eventually there will be ASI where everybody will be "a dumb nut" if compared to ASI. -- While there is a delay in removal of physical demanding jobs, paradoxically, intellectual demanding jobs are the ones that will die out last. | A wave of '''job change''' is about to happen with GPT5+. It will presumably give birth to a range of really good ANI. But the far '''long-term trend''' with real AI (AGI) is more and '''more unemployment''' because '''not everybody can adapt to AGI'''. And eventually there will be ASI where everybody will be "a dumb nut" if compared to ASI. -- While there is a delay in removal of physical demanding jobs, paradoxically, intellectual demanding jobs are the ones that will die out last. | ||